TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION FEBRUARY 21ST
#699 BRADLEY (-3′) over Missouri State at 8 PM EST
On a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS run and off a surprising 11-point road loss at Northern Iowa, Bradley will be sure to bring its “A-Game” to Springfield in this Missouri Valley Conference battle. Missouri State enters this contest off a less than impressive 82-74 home win over Valparaiso and this will be a tough encore for head coach Dana Ford and the Bears.
Even though the Braves have inked a golden 3-0 SU and ATS mark in the last three battles in this series, Bradley’s 7-26 SU and 12-20-1 ATS record on this floor will keep them focused on the task at hand. Thankfully, head coach Brian Wardle and his boys have been at their best against soft defenses. In fact, the Braves hold a stunning 49-8 SU and 37-18 ATS mark when scoring 70 points or more and they’ll likely get that many tonight matched up a Bears stop unit that has surrendered an average of 71.4 points per game this season. Equally impressive, on the road arriving off a SU and ATS loss and now matched up against a sub .600 foe that takes the floor with steam off a straight up win, Coach Wardle and his squad holds a reliable 16-5 ATS tally including a strong 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS if they are priced as a favorite of -3 or more.
The Bears are locked into one of their worst wagering roles, too. When carrying a team won/loss percentage of .501 or higher, Missouri State owns a rough 20-24 SU and 16-28 ATS record in its last 44 battles including a miserable 9-19 SU and 4-24 ATS provided its opponent owns a pointspread won/loss percentage of .570 or less. With those two parameters live and Coach Ford’s crew checking in off a conference game, this team trend falls to a horrible 7-16 SU and 2-21 ATS including a stiff 0-13 ATS provided they storm the court with confidence off a straight up win of two points or more.
Currently locked into the No. 3 slot in the MVC standings looking up at the Sycamores and Bulldogs, the Braves need this win in order to keep pace in the race for the title. Take Bradley. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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