TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 18TH
#381 OREGON ST (-7′) over Arizona St at 2:15 PM EST on Saturday
Rolling along off last week’s 38-10 blowout home win and cover over California, Oregon State and its tough-as-nails defense will have no trouble stuffing Arizona State. The Sun Devils are a mess right now on a woeful 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS run and, off back-to-back SU and ATS losses to the Bruins and Cougars, ASU will get slammed again here.
In the last 11 meetings between these two Pac 12 foes, OSU has cashed its fair share of tickets inking a solid 8-3 ATS mark. Also, since 2019, the Beavers have been a pointspread sweetheart inking a lucrative 25-14 ATS record in their last 39 lined games including a strong 11-4 ATS provided their opponent takes the field without steam off a straight up loss. Additionally, when favored by -3.5 or more and holding a team won/loss percentage of .600 or better, Oregon State owns a money-making 41-8 SU and 31-18 ATS mark in its last 49 games. In this run matched up against a Pac 12 foe, the Beavers jump to a reliable 26-6 SU and 22-10 ATS including an elite 17-3 SU and 15-5 ATS provided they check in off a straight up win.
Arizona State is locked into one of its worst wagering situations too. When priced as a single-digit underdog and battling an opponent that owns a team won/loss percentage of .680 or better, the Sun Devils have struggled posting a horrible 5-28 SU and 6-26-1 ATS record in their last 33 games. Even worse, in a last home game setting matched up against a foe that arrives off a home war, ASU carries a feeble 7-17 ATS mark in its last 24 tries including a pitiful 4-17 ATS in this situation provided the Sun Devils are not priced as a heavy favorite of -14 or more. Finally, since 1980, conference underdogs that own a team won/loss percentage of .333 or less in their last home game own a dismal 35-57 ATS record provided they enter off three or more pointspread losses. As long as our “play against” side is not battling a rested foe, this angle falls to a woeful 27-54 ATS.
With the assistance of a defensive interior that is ranked first in the Pac 12 allowing an average of only 107.1 yards rushing per game, the Beavers will travel to the desert and absolutely stuff a Sun Devils bunch that has already thrown in the towel. Take Oregon State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 56-28 NBA HIGH ROLLER SYSTEM WAGER
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