TOM STRYKER’S FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL SELECTION FRIDAY, MARCH 8TH
#863 CENTRAL MICHIGAN (-) over W Michigan at 7 PM EST
Off a pair of surprising home losses to Toledo and Northern Illinois, Central Michigan will travel to Kalamazoo and take out its frustrations on this weak Western Michigan squad. The Broncos limp into this game off four consecutive straight up losses and they will have their hands full with this embarrassed Chippewas team. Let’s take a look inside the numbers.
A quick glance at the History Book shows that CMU has quietly covered five straight in this series. Equally impressive, when going into revenge, head coach Keno Davis’ boys hold a lucrative 29-17 ATS mark including 28-13 ATS provided this is a regular season game. There is a solid college system that supports this Best Bet too. Since 1990, road favorites that take the floor off back-to-back SU and ATS home losses own a profitable 36-19-2 ATS record provided they hold a team won/loss percentage of .580 or better and their opponent arrives off two or more straight up losses. If our “play on” side is running the court against an opponent that holds a team won/loss percentage of .350 or less, this situation tightens up to a solid 16-1 SU and 13-3-1 ATS. That bodes well for the Chips.
Holding a timid 27-38 SU and 24-33-3 ATS mark in its last 65 games, it is obvious that Western Michigan is having issues on the hardwood. Surprisingly, at home in that run, the Broncos have performed even worse notching a stiff 8-16-2 ATS record including 2-7-1 ATS if they’re battling a foe that arrives off a straight up loss. In addition, as a conference underdog priced at +4 or more arriving off a MAC game, WMU sports a shocking 22-121 SU and 58-82-3 ATS record. Provided the Broncos hold a team won/loss percentage of .400 or worse, this team trend falls to a nasty 7-56 SU and 21-42 ATS including 0-23 SU and 5-18 ATS if their opponent arrives off a straight up loss.
If you want to beat the Chippewas, you need to put some points on the board. CMU averages 82.6 points per game while WMU is good for an average of only 70.1 points per game. That’s simply not going to be enough. Take Central Michigan. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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