TOM STRYKER’S FREE COLLEGE BASKETBALL SELECTION THURSDAY, MARCH 7TH
#631 VALPARAISO (+) over Indiana St at 7:05 PM EST
Even though the Crusaders enter this MVC Tournament battle on a dismal 2-10 SU and 3-8-1 ATS run, Valparaiso is in prime position to pull off this minor upset. Indiana State enter this contest off a Senior Night victory over Northern Iowa and the Sycamores will be in serious trouble here.
In the regular season, Valpo dropped both games to ISU by finals of 70-53 and 87-82. Those losses will only help the Crusaders in this matchup. Since 1997, MVC Tournament teams in the First Round own a reliable 15-7 ATS record provided they are running the floor with same season double revenge. If our “play on” side is priced as an underdog or a favorite of -3 or less, this situation jumps to a lucrative 15-5 ATS. Also, in the MVC Tournament, No. 9 seeds own a respectable 14-9 ATS record provided they are battling the No. 8 seed. If our “play on” side holds a team won/loss percentage of .401 or higher, this situation jets to a nearly perfect 8-1 SU and ATS.
This is going to be a difficult spot for Indiana State. In the MVC Tournament checking in off a straight up win, the Sycamores have struggled inking a weak 9-21 SU and 11-19 ATS record. If ISU is going into revenge, this team trend falls to a pitiful 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS. Also, as a favorite, Indiana State has been a poor investment notching a stiff 13-25-1 ATS mark including 5-15-1 ATS if its opponent hits the hardwood off a pointspread loss. Finally, in conference play arriving off a blowout victory of 15 points or more, the Sycamores fall to a nasty 5-13 ATS.
No, the Crusaders aren’t good enough to win four games in four days and walk away with the MVC crown. But, head coach Matt Lottich’s kids have enough talent to grab the “W” in this game and advance. Take Valparaiso. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
Stryker got roughed up with Marquette and Baylor last night and looks to battle back on Thursday with one postseason wager that will grab the cash. Two golden angles support this 3* Best Bet and these situations boast undefeated marks of 17-0 ATS and 15-0 ATS. Grab Tom’s CBB Double Perfect Tournament Investment for $25.