TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 12TH
#739 DRAKE (-1′) over Illinois State at 9 PM EST
Off a less than impressive showing at home over Indiana State and with a pair of games against Bradley and UIC in Des Moines on deck, Drake will travel to Normal, Illinois and roast Illinois State. The Redbirds enter this MVC battle on a 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS run and they are in prime position to fall. Let’s take a look inside the numbers.
Historically speaking, the Bulldogs have dominated this series inking a solid 11-1 SU and 7-5 ATS record in the last 12 meetings and have quietly tasted victory in nine straight (5-4 ATS). In addition, in its last 78 games, Drake has been worth the financial risk posting a strong 66-12 SU and 42-33 ATS mark including a stunning 28-3 SU and 21-8 ATS tally provided head coach Ben McCollum and his boys slip in off a pointspread loss. With those two parameters live and the Bulldogs running the court against an opponent that holds a team won/loss percentage of .501 or higher, this angle improves to a rewarding 19-2 SU and 17-4 ATS.
Holding a timid 30-57 SU and 37-48-2 ATS record, Illinois State hasn’t exactly been the best home dog lately. In this run facing a foe that owns four or more days of rest, the Redbirds fall to a rough 9-28 SU and 10-25-2 ATS including a horrendous 2-14 SU and ATS provided their opponent take the floor with momentum off two or more straight up wins. With those three parameters live and ISU sporting a team won/loss percentage of .440 or higher, this team trend crashes to a shocking 0-11 SU and ATS. That spells trouble for head coach Ryan Pedon and his players.
The Bulldogs are sitting on top in the MVC standings and they’ll need this dub and cover to keep their slim cushion over UNI. Take Drake. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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