Tom Stryker’s Free Football Play October 6th

TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, OCTOBER 6TH

#460 JACKSONVILLE (-3) over Indianapolis at 1 PM EST
It’s gut-check time for the Jags. Out of the gate with an 0-4 SU record, Jacksonville needs this victory like blood or head coach Doug Pederson could be shown the door as early as Monday. Indianapolis enters this division battle off back-to-back SU and ATS wins over Chicago and Pittsburgh and the Horseshoes are ripe for a beating of their own.

Technically speaking, this is a lucrative spot for the home team. Since 1989, game five winless squads hold a respectable 29-14-1 ATS provided they are lined up against a division opponent. If our “play on” side is battling a foe that played in the comforts of home last, this situation cruises to a solid 15-6-1 ATS. Additionally, in this series, the Jaguars have been worth the financial risk posting an elite 15-2-1 ATS mark in the last 18 meetings including an amazing 8-0 SU and ATS if they are rolling in their own backyard.

This is a tough wagering situation for the Colts. In division play facing a foe that enters without confidence off a straight up loss, the Horseshoes hold a soft 10-18-2 ATS mark including a woeful 4-10-1 ATS if their opponent takes the field off two or more straight up blemishes. Also, when coming off two or more ATS victories, Indianapolis sports a terrible 20-35-2 ATS tally including a nasty 6-16-2 ATS if its opponent owns a team won/loss percentage less than .500.

The Jags have their season on the line today and they’ll fight through the raindrops and pick up a crucial win and cover. Take Jacksonville. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

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