TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 15TH
#276 MINNESOTA (+4′) over San Francisco at 1 PM EST
With plenty of steam off last week’s 28-6 road win and cover over the G-Men, the Vikings will return home and give the Niners fits on Sunday afternoon. San Francisco enters this matchup off a huge home dub and cover over New York (Jets) on Monday night and head coach Kyle Shanahan and his boys will have issues especially with a short work week.
This is actually a solid wagering spot for the Purple. Since 1990, Minnesota owns a respectable 42-24-1 ATS record when priced as a home dog including a strong 33-18-1 ATS in this setting provided its opponent arrives off a straight up victory. Equally impressive, in their own backyard checking in off a straight up road win over a non-division foe, the Vikings hold a noteworthy 43-16 SU and 35-23-1 ATS mark including an elite 38-15 SU and 33-19-1 ATS provided their opponent is not rested. With those two parameters in play and the Vikes facing a foe off a straight up win, this situation jumps to a solid 22-9 ATS.
It’s never easy fading the 49ers. However, since 1985, NFL favorites competing in their first road game of the season hold a soft 59-84-4 ATS record provided they won 12 games or more a year ago. If our “play against” side takes the field off a straight up win, this situation crashes to a rough 20-35-1 ATS including an ugly 8-25-1 ATS provided this is a non-division battle. With those three parameters cranking away and our guest facing a foe that scoots in with steam off a straight up win, this angle falls to a horrible 0-8 SU and ATS. That spells trouble for San Francisco.
Offensively, the Vikings were firing on all cylinders in their 22-point road win over the Giants and they’ll carry that momentum over and pull off the upset here. Take Minnesota. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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