TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14TH
#189 GEORGIA (-22) over Kentucky at 7:30 PM EST
Off a pair of easy wins over Clemson and Tennessee Tech by the combined score of 82-6, Georgia will travel to Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky and smash the Wildcats. UK enters this SEC battle off an ugly 31-6 home loss to South Carolina and things will go from bad to worse for head coach Mark Stoops and his men.
The Bulldogs are locked into one of their best roles, too. As a guest arriving off a blowout victory of 10 points or more, head coach Kirby Smart and his kids hold an elite 57-38-2 ATS record including a powerful 42-25-2 ATS provided they are priced as a favorite of -2.5 or more. With those two parameters in play and the Dawgs entering off the comforts of a home game, this situation improves to a healthy 35-18-2 ATS. Additionally, since 1984, game three college teams that won their first two battles over non-conference foes by 28 points or more own a stunning 27-9 ATS mark provided they are facing an opponent that takes the field off a blowout loss of 10 points or more.
This is a horrible wagering spot for the Blue Grass Cats. Since 1980, game three home underdogs priced at +10 or more that are playing with revenge hold a horrible 2-23 SU and 5-20 ATS record provided they own a 1-1 SU record and enter without confidence off a SU and ATS loss. In this setting facing a foe that arrives off a blowout victory of seven points or more, our host falls to a shocking 1-22 SU and 3-20 ATS. That spell trouble for UK. Also, in their own backyard as a conference host arriving without steam off a SU and ATS loss, the Wildcats carry a poor 16-47 SU and 24-39 ATS tally in their last 63 battles.
With seven of 11 starters back from a stop unit that allowed an average of only 15.6 points per game, the Bulldogs defense has been lights out this season allowing a grand total of only six points. Coach Smart’s “D” will key this blowout victory. Take Georgia. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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