TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION MONDAY, MARCH 11TH
#864 JAMES MADISON (-5) over Arkansas St at 7 PM EST
Bringing a hefty 30-3 SU record to the table, James Madison will have no trouble knocking off Arkansas State in this Sun Belt Conference Tournament title bout. The Red Wolves enter this championship game off a pair of SU and ATS victories over the Ragin’ Cajuns and Mountaineers and this will prove to be a difficult encore for head coach Bryan Hodgson and his boys.
When these two teams tangled back on February 7th, the Dukes (-4′) picked up a 77-73 road win. As it stands, since January 14th, 2023, JMU owns a spectacular 41-7 SU and 27-20 ATS record in its last 48 battles including a powerful 29-7 SU and 23-13 ATS if its opponent holds a team won/loss percentage of .340 or better. With those two parameters live and the Dukes favored by -2 or more, this technical situation jumps to an incredible 26-3 SU and 20-9 ATS. Also, in the Sun Belt Conference Tournament Championship Game, teams that are facing a foe that takes the floor off a straight up underdog win hold a solid 11-2 SU and ATS mark provided their opponent is seeded at No. 4 or less. That bodes well for James Madison.
This is a poor wagering spot for the Red Wolves. When locked into a revenge mode and hitting the court off two or more straight up wins, Arkansas State has struggled posting a soft 24-32 SU and 21-30-2 ATS record. In this spot competing with same season single revenge, Coach Hodgson’s troops fall to a miserable 3-7 SU and 1-9 ATS. Also, on the road or on a neutral court priced as a favorite or short underdog of +9.5 or less, the Red Wolves hold a dismal 10-32 SU and 17-25 ATS tally provided their opponent enters with steam off a straight up win.
With a ticket to the Big Dance on the line, the Dukes won’t be denied. Take James Madison.
DAN’S 11-1 ATS 4* CBB SOUTHERN CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR
The TSPC fell with Indiana State yesterday and looks to right the ship with one computer crusher from Dan that will get the job done. A stunning 11-1 ATS angle backs this power wager along with a nearly perfect 9-1 ATS trend. Grag Dan’s 4* CBB Southern Conference Tournament Game of the Year for $30.