Tom Stryker’s Free Basketball Play February 13th


#622 VIRGINIA (-6′) over Pittsburgh at 7 PM EST
Firing on all cylinders on a blistering 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS run, Virginia won’t have any problems grabbing the cash in this contest against Pittsburgh. The Panthers enter this ACC road tilt off three straight wins and covers over the Demon Deacons, Fighting Irish, and Wolfpack, and this visit to John Paul Jones Arena will be a difficult one for head coach Jeff Capel and his crew.

In the last meeting between these two ACC schools at Pitt back on January 3rd, 2023, the Cavaliers (-6′) got rocked by the Panthers 68-65. Even with that blemish, Virginia still owns a commanding 13-2 SU and 9-4-2 ATS mark in its last 15 in this series. Equally impressive, at home storming the court with momentum off a straight up win, head coach Tony Bennett and his players own a profitable 42-20 ATS record provided their opponent arrives off a road game. If the Hoos are battling a foe that carries a pointspread won/loss percentage of .501 or higher, this trend jumps to a magnificent 26-5 ATS including a stunning 18-1 ATS it they are priced between -14 and +6 points, respectively.

This is a terrible wagering spot for Pitt. When coming off a 3-0 SU and ATS run or better, the Panthers hold a rough 13-27-1 ATS tally provided their opponent owns a team won/loss percentage of .525 or higher. In this setting priced as a favorite or an underdog of +6 or less, Coach Capel and his players fall to a feeble 10-25-1 ATS. Also, when arriving off a SU and ATS road victory and now stepping up in class and fighting a foe that carries a team won/loss percentage of .701 or higher, the Panthers sport a pitiful 2-9 SU and 1-10 ATS mark including a hideous 0-10 ATS provided they are not priced as a double-digit underdog.

Ranked first nationally in turnovers per game (8.4) and second in scoring defense (57.6 ppg), the Cavaliers stop unit will prove to be too much for the Panthers in the end. Take Virginia. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.


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