Tom Stryker’s Free Football Play November 25th


#207 FRESNO ST (-5) over San Diego St at 10:30 PM EST
In a nasty mood off back-to-back SU and ATS losses to San Jose State and New Mexico, Fresno State will travel to Snapdragon Stadium and annihilate San Diego State. The Aztecs (3-8, 1-6 MW) limp into this contest off four consecutive straight up losses and they’ll send off head coach Brady Hoke into retirement with another blemish in his pocket.

A quick glance at the History Book shows that the Bulldogs have controlled this series inking a respectable 11-8 SU and ATS record in the last 19 meetings including a profitable 11-5 ATS in this run provided they are not favored by double-digits. Also, when tackling a foe that enters off a straight up loss, Fresno State has been a solid investment inking an elite 45-24 SU and 40-26-1 ATS mark including a lucrative 26-11 SU and 22-12-1 ATS provided they bust in off the comforts of a home game. With those two parameters in play and both squads arriving off conference wars, this team trend improves to a healthy 19-8 SU and 19-7-1 ATS.

With only one straight up win in its last nine games, it’s tough to wager on San Diego State at the moment. To make matters worse, when locked into a revenge mode, the Aztecs hold a horrible 59-88-4 ATS mark including a rough 20-33-2 ATS in this setting provided their opponent arrives off a straight up loss. With those two parameters in play and SDSU tackling a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage of .600 or better, this team trend crashes to a miserable 1-11 SU and 1-10 ATS.

The Bulldogs set a goal for 10 wins this season and they need to beat the Aztecs and their opponent in the postseason to get that done. Here comes the first part of that equation. Take Fresno State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.


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