TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18TH
#383 UCLA (+) over USC at 3:30 PM EST
Arriving off a pair of surprising losses to Arizona and Arizona State, UCLA will be primed and ready for this revenge battle against USC. Last year, the Bruins (+2’) hosted the Trojans and dropped a hard-fought battle by the final of 48-45. It is rumored that this will be the final game for UCLA head coach Chip Kelly (potentially fired after this matchup) and his players will do whatever it takes to make sure he potentially goes out on top.
The history in this series is certainly noted. The Bruins own a rough 6-18 SU and 10-14 ATS mark in the last 24 meetings. Thankfully, when storming the field off two or more straight up losses, UCLA holds a proud 22-16-1 ATS record in its last 39 tries including a reliable 20-12-1 ATS provided this is a conference game. With those two parameters live and Coach Kelly’s boys priced as a pup of +1.5 or more, this team trend cruises to a lucrative 12-4-1 ATS. Also, in Pac-12 play arriving off a pointspread loss, the Bruins own a strong 20-11 ATS tally provided their opponent arrives off an ATS victory. If UCLA slipped to the Las Vegas pointspread by 8.5-points or more, this team trend explodes to a lucrative 18-4 ATS.
Kudos to the Men of Troy for finally cashing a ticket last weekend against the Ducks. However, backing a USC squad that holds a dismal 12-20 ATS tally in its last 32 lined battles isn’t going to happen anytime soon. To make matters worse, the Trojans own a rough 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS mark in this run provided they take the field without confidence off a straight up loss. Additionally, when going into revenge, head coach Lincoln Riley and his troops own a poor 10-21 ATS record in their last 31 tries including a pathetic 2-12 ATS if their opponent busts in without momentum off a straight up loss. With those two parameters live and USC taking the field off a conference game, this team trend falls to a rough 1-11 ATS.
Ranked ninth in the nation in scoring defense surrendering just 16.4 points per game, it will be Coach Kelly’s stop unit that helps key this upset victory. Take UCLA. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 5* NCAA ULTIMATE DATABASE WAGER
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