TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21ST
#361 TOLEDO (-2′) over Miami (Ohio) at 4 PM EST
In its first meeting with the RedHawks since 2011, the Rockets will travel to Oxford and pick up a huge MAC win and cover on Saturday. Since losing at Miami, Florida in its season opener, Miami has ripped off a stunning 6-0 SU and 5-0 ATS record in its last six games and this will prove to be a difficult encore for head coach Chuck Martin and his men.
After grabbing the money at Illinois in its season opener, Toledo has inked a surprising 0-5 ATS mark in its last five games. That fact is noted. Thankfully, as a MAC guest arriving off a conference road war, the Rockets have exploded posting a profitable 33-14 SU and 29-16-2 ATS record in their last 47 games. In this run priced as a favorite, UT improves to a rewarding 30-6 SU and 23-11-2 ATS. Equally impressive, since 1980, college football road favorites that arrive off three or more pointspread losses own a reliable 35-22-1 ATS tally provided their opponent owns a team won/loss percentage of .670 or higher. If our “play on” side arrives off a conference game, this angle improves to a solid 29-10-1 ATS including an elite 21-6 ATS provided their opponent busts in off two or more straight up victories.
Technically speaking, this is a rough wagering spot for Miami. When hitting the field off a pointspread win, the RedHawks hold a weak 17-26-2 ATS record provided they are lined up against an opponent that arrives off an ATS loss. In this situation tackling a foe that enters with confidence off a straight up win, this team trend crashes to a miserable 2-7 ATS. Also, non-rested single-digit MAC home dogs that enter with momentum off a SU and ATS victory own a soft 29-43-2 ATS mark provided they are lined up against a conference opponent. If our “play against” side if fighting a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .751 or higher, this situation falls to a woeful 6-16 SU and ATS.
Behind an offensive attack that leads the conference in scoring (36.9 ppg), total offense (459.3 ypg) and rushing (243.1 ypg), the Rockets will be just a bit too much for the RedHawks to handle. Take Toledo. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 14-0 ATS 4* NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Coming off a 1-1 mark on posted plays last night that included a huge blowout victory on SMU in college football, Stryker is going after one more wager that will bring home the cash. This Best Bet is his STRONGEST of the day and it is backed by two solid technical situations that hold power marks of 14-0 ATS and 79-39 ATS. Grab Tom’s 4* NCAA Conference Game of the Year for $30.