TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30TH
#136 CENTRAL FLORIDA (-8′) over Baylor at 3:30 PM EST
Off last Saturday’s 44-31 beatdown at Kansas State, Central Florida will return home to FBC Mortgage Stadium and pick up its first Big 12 Conference win and cover. The Knights are an absolute force offensively averaging 38.3 points and 565.0 total yards per game (260.3 ypg on the ground) and this high-octane attack will be too much for the visiting Bears to handle.
Technically speaking, this is an ideal spot for UCF. As a home favorite arriving off a straight up loss, head coach Gus Malzahn and his troops have responded by inking a strong 22-0 SU and 15-6-1 ATS record in their next game. In this situation priced cheap at -13.5 or less, the Knights improve to a healthy 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS. Also, when coming off a pointspread loss and tackling an opponent that played in the comforts of home last, Central Florida holds a lucrative 34-22 ATS mark including a powerful 14-1 SU and 12-1 ATS provided it holds a team won/loss percentage of .700 or better. With those two parameters live and UCF not favored by -35 or more, this team trend explodes to a solid 13-1 SU and 12-0 ATS.
After opening up with four straight in Waco, this trip to Orlando will be a difficult won for BU. This isn’t the best wagering spot for the Bears either. When coming off a straight up loss and now facing a foe that enters off a blemish of 10 points or more, Baylor has put together a woeful 13-30-1 ATS record including a disturbing 2-22 SU and 3-20-1 ATS in this run provided head coach Dave Aranda and his troops are priced as an underdog. If the Bears were grabbing +3 or more in their last battle, this team trend crashes to a horrible 0-21 SU and 0-20-1 ATS. Also, in road openers, BU holds a soft 6-16 ATS mark in its last 22 lined games including just 1-7 ATS if it is priced as a pup of +7 or more.
To complement their offense, the Knights defense has been solid this season allowing only 20.0 points and 346.8 yards per game. In their first ever Big 12 home contest, Coach Malzahn and his players will dominate on both sides of the ball and cash this ticket. Take Central Florida. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 11-0 ATS 4* NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Stryker popped his 4* Best Bet last week on Kansas State (drilled UCF 44-31) and he’s back with another strong 4* in college football that will bring home the cash. This top-rated selection is supported by two highly profitable technical situations that hold power marks of 11-0 ATS and 23-6 ATS. Grab Tom’s 4* NCAA Conference Game of the Year for $30.