TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, OCTOBER 1ST
#277 KANSAS CITY (-8′) over New York at 8:20 PM EST
With steam off a pair of SU and ATS victories over the Jags and Bears, the Chiefs will stroll right into the Big Apple and roast a Jets squad that is having all kinds of problems putting points on the board. In their last six games dating back to last season, New York has scored 3, 6, 6, 22, 10, and 10 points, respectively. That’s simply not going to be enough to knock off Kansas City and its high-octane offense.
Since 2013, head coach Andy Reid and the Chiefs have been one of the NFL’s best in true road games inking a solid 57-28 SU and 50-34-1 ATS record. In this run tackling a foe that enters off a pointspread loss, Kansas City tightens up to a powerful 28-12 SU and 26-13-1 ATS including an outstanding 17-6 SU and 16-6-1 ATS if it takes the field with confidence off a straight up win. Equally impressive, when facing teams from the AFC East, the Chiefs own a profitable 16-7 SU and ATS tally in their last 23 tries including 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS if their foe holds a team won/loss percentage less than .650.
This is a horrible wagering spot for New York. When going into momentum and tackling a foe that enters off a SU an ATS win, the Jets have crashed inking a dismal 14-44 SU and 20-36-2 ATS record in their last 58 games. In this setting lined up against a non-division opponent, the Boys from the Big Apple fall to a rough 10-25 SU and ATS including a hideous 7-20 SU and 6-21 ATS if head coach Robert Saleh and his squad take the field off a straight up loss. With those three parameters in play and New York holding a team won/loss percentage of .250 or better, this team trend bottoms out at an ugly 1-10 SU and 0-11 ATS.
The Jets have problems right now. The Chiefs don’t. New York’s defense will keep them in this game for a quarter or two. But, in the end, Coach Reid and quarterback Patrick Mahomes will be too much for the home team to handle. Take Kansas City. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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