TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASEBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, JULY 16TH
#972 ATLANTA RUN-LINE with Allard (-1′ +106) over Chicago with Cease at 1:35 PM EST
In a bad mood off that 6-5 home loss to the Pale Hose, the Braves will have no trouble extending the margin in this interleague matchup. Atlanta holds a commanding 9.5-game lead in the NL East over Miami and manager Brian Snitker would like to try and push that to double-digits with a victory here.
Southpaw Kolby Allard will hit the hump for the home team. With three appearances this season including two starts, No. 49 has allowed five earned runs and nine hits in 10.2 innings. Kolby struck out 12 and walked three on his way to an 0-0 mark with a 4.22 ERA. Last year, with Texas, Allard took the mound 10 times in the role of a reliever and was tagged for 17 earned runs and 21 hits in 21.0 frames. That adds up to a 1-2 record with a 7.29 ERA.
Right-hander Dylan Cease will counter for the visitors. Lined up against the Cardinals, A’s, and Angels in his last three performances, No. 84 was blasted for nine earned runs and 22 hits in 17.1 innings of work. Dylan fanned 23 and issued three free passes on his way to an 0-0 tally with a 4.67 ERA. Overall, with 102.7 frames completed, Cease has allowed 49 earned runs and 96 hits. That translates into a 3-3 mark with a 4.30 ERA.
Plenty of angles support this Best Bet. Atlanta has won 27 of its last 38 priced as a favorite between -125 and -175, 61 of its last 90 overall and 31 of its last 47 at home. On the other side of the yard, Chicago has slipped in 37 of its last 55 priced as an underdog and 55 of its last 93 overall.
The Braves are hammering home runs like there is no tomorrow and they’ll win comfortably here. Take Atlanta on the run-line with Allard. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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