TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION MONDAY, APRIL 17TH
#521 BROOKLYN (+10) over Philadelphia at 7:30 PM EST
Off the brutal 121-101 loss to the 76ers in game one, the Nets will take better care of the basketball (20 turnovers in their last meeting) and keep this game much closer than expected. Philadelphia was in a zone from downtown on Saturday (21-of-43 from behind the arc) and head coach Doc Rivers and his troops will be defended much better in this rematch.
Technically speaking, this is a solid wagering spot for Brooklyn. In the NBA Playoffs, round one game two double-digit underdogs that lost their opener by 20 points or more hold a respectable 13-6 ATS record. Additionally, when priced as a road underdog of +9 or more and competing against an opponent that takes the floor off a pointspread victory, the Nets hold a reliable 97-70-5 ATS mark including a money-making 60-37-5 ATS in this setting provided their opponent arrives off a blowout win of 10 points or more. With those two parameters live and head coach Jacque Vaughn and his players running the floor against a conference foe, this angle improves to a healthy 40-18-2 ATS.
Currently priced as a -10-point favorite, Philadelphia will have trouble covering all this juice. For starters, when coming off a playoff win of 20 points or more, the 76ers have struggled in their next game inking a soft 5-9 SU and 4-9-1 ATS record. Also, in the postseason taking the court off three or more pointspread wins, the Sixers have been a poor investment notching a rough 2-11 SU and 4-9 ATS mark. Finally, in the NBA Playoffs, round one game two teams that enter off three or more straight up wins hold a poor 11-31-1 ATS tally provided they smashed the Las Vegas line by 9.5-points or more last.
Yes, the Nets have posted an ugly 0-5 SU and ATS record in their last five playoff games against the Sixers. However, Coach Vaughn’s troops were sloppy in the series opener and they’re not about to let the 76ers have their way from three-point land in this rematch. Game two of this series will be much more competitive. Take Brooklyn. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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