Tom Stryker’s Free Basketball Play March 12th


#658 HOUSTON (-5′) over Memphis at 3:15 PM EST
The Cougars apply to a pair of conference tournament systems that own elite marks of 121-68 ATS and 48-21 ATS, and they’ll have no trouble pounding the Tigers in this AAC Championship Game. Memphis enters off a massive 40-point blowout win over Tulane in the semifinal round, and this will prove to be a tough encore for head coach Penny Hardaway and his kids.

Even though Houston will likely be without guard Marcus Sasser (groin injury and a gametime decision), head coach Kelvin Sampson will rally the troops and find a way for his top-ranked squad to finish off AAC play with a conference championship. Keep in mind, next season, UH will be a member of the Big 12 Conference. Since December 12th, 2019, Houston has been one of college basketball’s elite programs inking a solid 108-17 SU and 75-48 ATS record including a phenomenal 50-8 SU and 37-21 ATS provided its opponent enters off a SU and ATS victory. With those two parameters live and the Cougars facing a foe that arrives off a conference war, this team trend improves to a highly profitable 32-2 SU and 25-9 ATS.

Kudos to the Tigers for embarrassing the Green Wave yesterday. However, there is no way Memphis will do the same to this strong Houston squad. In the AAC Tournament, underdogs that arrive off two or more straight up wins own a soft 7-29 SU and 14-22 ATS record. If our “play against” side is fighting a foe that hits the hardwood with confidence off a blowout victory of 11 points or more, this technical situation crashes to a horrible 1-14 SU and 3-12 ATS. Finally, in the final round of a conference tournament, underdogs priced at +2.5 or more that arrive off a blowout victory of 20 points or more hold a feeble 5-32 SU and 12-23-2 ATS record. If our “play against” side is rolling against a No. 1 seed, this situation falls to a miserable 2-21 SU and 4-17-2 ATS. That spells trouble for Memphis.

In the hunt for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and on the floor with a heavy heart (lost his twin sister on Friday), Coach Sampson will lead his mighty Cougars to an emotional win and cover in Fort Worth. Take Houston. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.


It was another sweep for the TSPC yesterday as Lee cashed his $1,500 HRC Conference Tourney Whale Play of the Year on Iona and Tom nailed his 5* Conference Tourney Game of the Year on Marquette and Trey takes over with his No. 1 postseason wager. A solid 16-2 ATS angle supports this money-maker. Grab Trey’s Private Players Conference Tournament Game of the Year for $30.