TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION THURSDAY, MARCH 2ND
#788 MISSOURI STATE (-8′) over Illinois Chicago at 9:30 PM EST
The Bears are locked into a strong 61-27 ATS conference tournament situation and they’ll have no trouble blowing out the Flames in this MVC postseason battle. UIC enters this contest off a three-point home loss to SIU and, with straight up blemishes in 14 of its last 17 overall, head coach Luke Yaklich and his boys will fall hard here.
This is actually a very good wagering spot for Missouri State. When coming off a straight up underdog win, the Bears have come out of hibernation inking a respectable 58-38-4 ATS record. In this setting running the court against a foe that enters off a straight up loss, MSU tightens up to a spectacular 27-10 ATS including an elite 19-4 ATS provided it holds a team won/loss percentage less than .690. Also, in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament competing against a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage less than .500, head coach Dana Ford’s crew owns a profitable 15-1 SU and 10-6 ATS mark including a strong 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS provided they are not favored by -9.5-points or more.
Momentum has been a bit of a problem for UIC too. When facing a foe that hits the hardwood off two or more straight up wins, the Flames have been at their financial worst posting a weak 27-87 SU and 47-65-1 ATS mark provided they are playing on the road or on a neutral court. In this situation priced as an underdog of +5 or more, Illinois Chicago falls to a woeful 10-69 SU and 30-49 ATS including an ugly 5-47 SU and 17-35 ATS provided its opponent owns a conference won/loss percentage less than .780.
Ranked 29th nationally in scoring defense allowing an average of only 63.7 points per game, the Bears will lean on their tenacious stop unit to pick up this win and cover. Take Missouri State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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The TSPC suffered a loss last night with Lee’s selection on Alabama and looks to get back on track with Trey’s solid wager for Thursday night. Strong stats support this power play along with a couple of rewarding trends that hold lucrative marks of 42-10 ATS and 23-9 ATS. Grab Trey’s CBB Private Players Insider Play of the Year for $30.