Tom Stryker’s Free Basketball Play February 28th

TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 28TH

#648 NEW MEXICO (-7′) over Fresno St at 10:30 PM EST
Off back-to-back straight up losses to Boise State and San Diego State and suffering through a 1-6 SU (3-4 ATS) February, New Mexico will dig deep and pick up a huge win and cover over visiting Fresno State on Senior Night. The Bulldogs enter this Mountain West Conference battle off a blemish to the Wolf Pack in their last home game and they’ll run into a buzz saw here.

If the losses to the Broncos and Aztecs haven’t fired up the Lobos, then the simple fact that UNM has dropped seven straight in this series will certainly help get that done. When playing at home and storming the court off a straight up conference loss, New Mexico has been an excellent source of revenue inking a strong 72-36 SU and 63-40-3 ATS record in its last 108 tries. In this particular setting priced as a favorite of -7.5 or more, head coach Richard Pitino and his boys hold a respectable 34-7 SU and 29-12 ATS tally. Also, in last home game settings, the Lobos own a strong 25-6 SU and 19-11-1 ATS mark including a powerful 17-5 SU and 16-6 ATS if they are rolling with revenge of any kind.

Clinging to a weak 17-25 SU and 16-25 ATS mark in their last 42 games, Fresno State has obviously had some issues on the court lately. In this run going into revenge, the Bulldogs have lost their bite notching a rough 4-10 ATS tally. Also, in conference play running the floor against an opponent that enters off a straight up home loss, State slips to a woeful 16-36-1 ATS. As long as head coach Justin Hutson’s troops own a pointspread won/loss percentage less than .545, this team trend hits rock bottom at 5-28-1 ATS.

Coach Pitino needs to ramp his kids up for a March Madness run and he’ll use this last home game setting to get things started. Take New Mexico. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

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