TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, OCTOBER 1ST
#528 PHOENIX (-6′) over Oklahoma City at 10 PM EST
Staring at a four-game road trip against Milwaukee, Charlotte, Chicago, and Dallas, Phoenix will make sure it comes out of the All-Star break and picks up a solid win and cover at home against Oklahoma City. The Thunder enter this Western Conference war off a one-point road loss to the Jazz and they’ll have issues in this difficult back-to-back.
A quick peek at the History Book reveals that the Suns have played well in this series lately notching a 6-2 SU (4-4 ATS) mark in the last eight meetings. Additionally, when playing in the comforts of home, head coach Monty Williams and his troops have been tough to beat notching a strong 94-33 SU and 73-52 ATS tally including a profitable 66-20 SU and 56-30 ATS provided they are priced as a competitive favorite between -2 and -11.5 points, respectively. Finally, when facing a foe that takes the floor without rest, the Suns have assembled a money-making 22-7 SU and 19-10 ATS mark provided their opponent was on the road in their last game.
Clinging to a lucrative 83-46-6 ATS record in its last 135 contests, Oklahoma City has certainly been a pointspread darling lately. Thankfully, in this run competing in the second of a back-to-back, the Thunder have struggled a touch notching a soft 5-16 SU and 11-10 ATS mark. Also, when coming off a division matchup, OKC holds a feeble 24-38 SU and 25-37 ATS tally provided they are lined up against a non-division foe. In this situation fighting a foe that takes the floor off a straight up loss, the Thunder have been at their financial worst posting a dismal 13-19 SU and 11-21 ATS mark including a rough 5-14 SU and 3-16 ATS provided their opponent sports a team won/loss percentage less than .560.
Even though the Suns won’t have Kevin Durant on the floor, there is still enough talent left to knock off these exhausted Thunder athletes. Take Phoenix. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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