TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 15TH
#713 INDIANA (-2′) over Northwestern at 9 PM EST
On a roll off three straight wins and covers over Purdue, Rutgers, and Michigan, No. 14/15 Indiana will travel to Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston and pick up a little sweet revenge against this emotionally spent Northwestern squad. The Purple Cats grabbed their first win ever over the AP No. 1 team (Purdue on Super Bowl Sunday) and they’ll be out of gas here.
The history in this series is certainly noted. The Hoosiers have dropped two straight to the Wildcats and own a disturbing 8-26-1 ATS record in the last 35 meetings. Thankfully, with a solid 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS record in their last nine games, head coach Mike Woodson and his kids are playing as good as anyone in the Big 10 right now. There is a strong team trend that applies as well. As a guest running with four or more days of rest, IU holds a profitable 15-5 ATS mark provided it was on the road last and its opponent arrives off a pointspread win.
Checking in off three straight upset wins over the Badgers, Buckeyes, and Boilermakers, the Wildcats are locked into a difficult wagering spot. Since 1992, college basketball teams that take the floor off three straight underdog wins hold a feeble 51-112 SU and 64-92-6 ATS record provided their last upset victory came in the comforts of home. If our “play against” side is competing against a foe that enters with confidence off two or more straight up wins, this technical situation crashes to a horrible 8-43 SU and 15-33-2 ATS including an ugly 7-31 SU and 9-27-2 ATS if they own a team won/loss percentage greater than .440. Northwestern applies to all three parts of that negative wagering situation.
With sole possession of second place in the Big 10 standings on the line, the Hoosiers will step up in a big way and cash this huge revenge ticket. Take Indiana. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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