TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION TUESDAY, FEBRURARY 7TH
#654 NEW MEXICO (-3′) over Nevada at 10:30 PM EST
Hungry off that 11-point road loss at Utah State and with a trip to Air Force on deck, New Mexico will make the most of this game inside The Pit on Tuesday evening. The Wolf Pack storm into this MWC war off back-to-back SU and ATS victories over the Aztecs and Falcons and they’ll have all kinds of problems at this venue.
If the loss to the Aggies won’t have head coach Richard Pitino and his boys fired up for this matchup, then the memory of their 97-94 double overtime blemish in Reno back on January 23rd will be more than enough to do the trick. Actually, the Lobos own a shocking 1-12 SU and 4-9 ATS tally in the last 13 meetings in this series and they want this victory badly. Thankfully, as a conference host battling a foe that arrives off the comforts of a home game, New Mexico owns a profitable 118-28 SU and 87-58-1 ATS record including a powerful 32-10 SU and 29-13 ATS provided it is stepping up in class and fighting a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .735 or higher. With those two parameters live and the Lobos running with four or more days of rest, this team trend explodes to a magnificent 21-4 SU and ATS including 19-3 SU and 20-2 ATS provided their opponent takes the floor off a straight up win.
Clinging to a 15-49 SU and 29-33-1 ATS record, it is obvious that road dog roles have been somewhat of a problem for Nevada. In this situation holding a team won/loss percentage less than .760, the Wolf Pack fall to a woeful 8-41 SU and 20-27-1 ATS including a stiff 5-40 SU and 17-26-1 ATS provided they are priced as a pup of +3 or more. Also, since January 4th, 2021, Mountain West Conference road underdogs that are going into revenge hold a pitiful 18-82 SU and 36-64 ATS mark provided they are lined up against a conference foe. If our “play against” side is battling an opponent that holds a pointspread won/loss percentage of .501 or higher, this situation crashes to a pitiful 6-44 SU and 13-37 ATS. That spells trouble for head coach Steve Alford and his crew.
In a serious revenge mode and off the blemish to the Aggies, the Lobos will rally the troops and pick up a huge win and cover here. Take New Mexico. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
DAN’S 41-18 ATS 4* CBB CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
On a red-hot 12-3 ATS run in their last 15 posted plays, the TSPC passes the ball over to Dan and he’s ready to go with one of his strongest plays of the season. This computer crusher is loaded with technical support too including power angles that hold lucrative marks of 41-18 ATS, 14-2 ATS, and 11-2 ATS. Grab Dan’s 4* CBB Conference Game of the Year for $30.