TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11TH
#123 TAMPA BAY (+3′) over San Francisco at 4:25 PM EST
Off last week’s thrilling home win over the Saints and with victories in three of their last four battles overall, the Buccaneers will travel to Levi’s Stadium and knock off the 49ers. Tampa Bay is currently locked into the No. 1 slot in the NFC South with a 6-6 SU record and the Bucs need a dub here in order to help pad that division lead.
In the role of an underdog, head coach Todd Bowles and his troops have performed well lately inking a solid 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS record in their last five tries. Equally impressive, on foreign soil competing against an opponent that enters off a pointspread victory, Tampa Bay has been in a serious zone inking an incredible 11-0 SU and 8-3 ATS record in its last 11 battles. Finally, when priced as an underdog and now fighting a foe that arrives off a double-digit straight up win, the Buccaneers own a profitable 14-4 ATS tally including a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in this situation provided they hold a team won/loss percentage of .500 or better.
Checking in nice and fat off five consecutive straight up wins including their last three by double digits, the Niners will struggle a touch in this non-division matchup. In the regular season coming off two or more pointspread wins, San Francisco has been a poor investment lately posting a feeble 9-22 ATS record. If the 49ers are matched up against a foe that enters off an ATS loss, this team trend falls to a miserable 2-12 ATS and is currently on a woeful 0-8 ATS run. Additionally, when hitting the field of battle off a blowout win of 16 points or more, San Francisco holds a weak 28-48-3 ATS record provided its opponent arrives off a straight up win. In this role tackling a non-division foe, the Niners slip to a woeful 16-35-1 ATS.
It’s the GOAT Tom Brady versus Mr. Irrelevant Brock Purdy. Even though Frisco owns the NFL’s best defense, Brady will find a way to be there in the end. Take Tampa Bay. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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