TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 25TH
#133 UCLA (-10′) over California at 4:30 PM EST
Checking in upset off back-to-back SU and ATS losses to Arizona and USC, UCLA will finish its regular season with a dominant performance at California. The Golden Bears escaped with a 27-20 come-from-behind win over Stanford last week and Cal won’t be as fortunate in this matchup.
Historically speaking, the Bruins have been at their best in this battle when facing a Bears squad that enters with confidence off a straight up win – now 9-5 SU and ATS in the last 14 meetings. In addition, when coming off two or more straight up losses, UCLA has inked a reliable 18-7 ATS tally in its last 25 battles provided they check in off a home war. If head coach Chip Kelly’s boys are going into revenge, this team trend tightens up to a solid 7-2 ATS. Finally, when lined up against an opponent that holds a team won/loss percentage less than .500, the Bruins sport a nearly perfect 12-1 SU and ATS mark including a golden 11-0 SU and ATS provided they are not favored by -18 or more.
Kudos to Cal for storming back to knock off a bad Stanford team in its last outing. However, backing a Golden Bears bunch that holds a dismal 33-50 ATS record when lined up against an opponent that busts in off a straight up loss isn’t going to happen anytime soon. In this situation fighting a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .501 or better, California falls to a miserable 12-31 ATS including a ridiculous 4-19 ATS if it takes the field with confidence off a straight up win. With those two parameters in play and Golden Bears priced between -4.5 and +16, this team trend crashes to a shocking 0-11 SU and ATS.
Bruins quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson is 474 yards away from being the all-time leader in passing yards at the school. Rest assured; Coach Kelly will do everything in his power to help him get that record. Look for the Bruins to air it out against a Cal pass defense that is ranked 127th in the FBS allowing an average of 287.7 yards per game. Take UCLA. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 27-9 ATS 4* NCAA BLACK FRIDAY GAME OF THE YEAR
Coming off a 2-1 ATS mark on posted plays yesterday, Stryker looks to hit paydirt with one Best Bet in college football that is in prime position to cash. Several quality angles support this selection including two that hold lucrative marks of 15-5 ATS and 27-9 ATS. Grab Tom’s 4* NCAA Black Friday Game of the Year for $30.