TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, OCTOBER 29TH
#127 MISSOURI (+3′) over South Carolina at 4 PM EST
Off the 17-14 home win over Vanderbilt and with a pair of monster games to open November against Kentucky and Tennessee, Missouri will make sure it pays attention at South Carolina with the Mayor’s Cup on the line. The overachieving Gamecocks enter this contest off four consecutive straight up wins and they are ripe for a beating.
A quick glance at the History Books shows that the Tigers have dominated this series lately posting wins and covers in the last three meetings. Even though Missouri didn’t cover in its home win over Vandy last Saturday, head coach Eliah Drinkwitz’s boys have quietly cashed eight of their last 11 tickets. Additionally, SEC short road dogs priced at +7 or less hold a powerful 21-11 ATS record provided they are lined up against a conference opponent that played in the comforts of home last. If our “play on” guest is facing a foe that carries a team won/loss percentage less than .750, this SEC angle explodes to a lucrative 16-4 ATS. That bodes well for Mizzou.
After knocking off Charlotte, South Carolina State, Kentucky, and Texas A&M, this will be a difficult encore for head coach Shane Beamer and his boys. Technically speaking, conference home favorites that take the field off back-to-back straight up underdog wins own a soft 34-52-3 ATS record provided they are lined up against a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage less than .500. If our “play against” side is battling a foe that arrives off a pointspread loss, this quick system falls to a miserable 13-34-2 ATS including an ugly 6-26-2 ATS if their opponent checks in off a conference game. The Gamecocks fit all three parts of that negative wagering situation.
Resting at 3-4 SU through seven games, the Tigers need this victory badly if they want to go bowling this season. Take Missouri. Thanks and best of luck.
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