Tom Stryker’s Free Baseball Play October 4th


#905 ATLANTA RUN-LINE with Odorizzi (-1.5 +105) over Miami with Garrett at 6:40 PM EST
Off yesterday’s loss to the Marlins and with the NL East division title on the line, the Braves will bring their “A-Game” to South Beach and pick up the clinching victory. Miami has quietly dropped 37 of its last 55 when coming off a win and manager Don Mattingly’s boys are in the wrong place at the worst time.

Veteran right-hander Jake Odorizzi will toe the rubber for the visitors. Since coming over from the Astros, No. 12 has made nine starts for Hotlanta and been tapped for 26 earned runs and 52 hits in 41.1 innings of work. Odorizzi struck out 33 and walked 17 on his way to a 1-3 record with a 5.66 ERA. Jack has pitched very well against Miami too. In his last five starts against the Marlins (all team wins), Odorizzi was tripped for only four earned runs and 20 hits in 26.2 innings of work. That’s good enough for a 3-0 mark with a strong 1.35 ERA.

Young southpaw Braxton Garrett will counter for the home team. With 16 starts in the books this season, No. 60 has been tagged for 33 earned runs and 80 hits in 83.1 innings. Garrett whiffed 83 and walked 19 on his way to a 3-6 record with a 3.56 ERA. Braxton already dominated the Braves once this year. Back on August 14th, Garrett faced Atlanta at home and surrendered no earned runs and five hits in 6.0 frames. Even with that solid outing, the Marlins got no run support and fell 3-1.

There are numerous team trends that support this investment. Atlanta has tasted victory in 49 of its last 60 when facing a foe with a losing record, 43 of its last 56 in the second game of a series, 47 of its last 67 when coming off a loss, and 35 of its last 52 facing an opponent that allowed two runs or less in their last game. On the other side of the field, Miami has slipped in 20 of its last 27 when facing a foe that scored two runs or less previously and 87 of its last 126 facing a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage greater than .600.

Braves manager Brian Snitker is one of the best in the business and he will have his troops ready to clinch here. Take Atlanta on the run-line with Odorizzi. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.


Stryker went 1-1 last night on posted plays (won with the 49ers and slipped with the Brew Crew run-line) and he’s head back to the diamond armed with one investment that will deliver the cash. Solid pitching supports this power play along with one elite team trend that holds a highly profitable 40-12 mark. Grab Tom’s MLB Run-Line Best Bet of the Week for $30.