TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 23RD
#367 UCLA (-21′) over Colorado at 2 PM EST
In last week’s 32-31 home win over South Alabama, UCLA needed a 24-yard field goal as time expired to escape with the victory. Matched up against a Colorado bunch that is ranked 129th in the FBS in scoring offense (avg 10.0 points per game) and 127th in the FBS in scoring defense (allow an avg of 42.7 points per game), head coach Chip Kelly and the Bruins will have no trouble lighting up the scoreboard in this Pac 12 opener.
Clinging to a profitable 13-7 ATS record in its last 20 road games, there is certainly nothing wrong with the way UCLA has performed on foreign soil. In this run tackling a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage less than .600, the Bruins improve to a nearly perfect 6-1 ATS. Equally impressive, undefeated game four teams that are lined up against a conference opponent hold a solid 20-2 SU and 13-8 ATS mark provided their foe is winless after their first three battles. Finally, when priced as a hefty favorite of -15 or more and lined up against a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage less than .333, Coach Kelly’s troops own a highly profitable 32-16-1 ATS tally.
Defending UCLA will be a challenge for Colorado. The Bruins are averaging 40.7 points and 506.0 total yards offensively and that unit will do serious damage matched up against a Buffaloes stop unit that allows an average of 42.7 points and 452.0 total yards per game. Momentum has been a real problem for CU too. In fact, when lined up against a foe that enters off a straight up win, the Buffs hold a rough 6-21 SU and 9-18 ATS mark including a horrible 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS in this run provided head coach Karl Dorrell’s kids take the field without steam off a straight up loss. Wrapping things up, in Pac 12 play fighting a foe that arrives with confidence off two or more straight up wins, Colorado owns a pathetic 2-24 SU and 7-19 ATS tally including a jaw-dropping 0-10 SU and 1-9 ATS in this set provided its opponent takes the field off a pointspread loss.
So far this season, the Buffaloes have experienced problems getting out of the gate in the first quarter. Lined up against a Bruins bunch that likes to strike quick and often, that is going to be a real issue. Take UCLA. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 32-9 ATS NCAA HIGH ROLLER BEST BET
Off an 0-2 Thursday, Stryker looks to right the ship with one college football wager that will bring home the cash. A highly profitable 32-9 ATS trend supports this money-maker along with one fast-developing 59-28 ATS power angle. Grab Tom’s NCAA High Roller Best Bet for $30.