TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18TH
#269 INDIANAPOLIS (-3) over Jacksonville at 1 PM EST
In a bad mood off that dismal division performance at Houston, Indianapolis will head back on the road and get the job done against a Jacksonville team that is still a work in progress. The Jags bust in off a SU and ATS road loss at Washington and head coach Doug Pederson and his troops aren’t going to get healthy here.
Since 2012, Indianapolis has been worth a look when coming off a pointspread loss posting a money-making 43-23 SU and 42-21-3 ATS record in its next game. If the Horseshoes were priced as a favorite last, this team trend jumps to a magnificent 25-8 SU and 22-9-2 ATS including an elite 19-3 SU and 17-4-1 ATS provided the Colts are off a straight up loss or a tie. Also, on the division road, Indy own a lucrative 19-11-1 SU and 18-11-2 ATS record in its last 31 battles including a strong 18-7-1 SU and 17-7-2 ATS in this set if the Colts are priced as a favorite or an underdog of +4 or less.
Clinging to a 3-30 SU and 11-22 ATS record in its last 33 games, Jacksonville remains the worst team in the NFL. In this run priced as a favorite or a single-digit underdog, the Jaguars fall to a miserable 1-22 SU and 5-18 ATS. Also, in their last 25 division games, the Jags hold a feeble 5-20 SU and 10-14-1 ATS mark including a dismal 4-10 SU and 5-9 ATS if they bust in off a road war. Finally, in home openers, Coach Pederson’s kids hold a rough 4-11 SU and ATS mark in their last 15 tries including a hideous 1-7 SU and ATS if they are priced as an underdog of +3 or more last.
With a pair of massive home games against the Chiefs and Titans on deck, the Colts can’t afford to fall asleep here. Take Indianapolis. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 4* NFL TOP CHALK FAVORITE OF THE MONTH
Stryker posted a frustrating 3-5 record on posted plays yesterday but did cash his top-rated 5* on LSU and Non-Conference Game of the Month on Pittsburgh. This elite investment comes with the ideal set, and it is supported by two power angles that hold top-shelf marks of 18-4 ATS and 17-6 ATS. Grab Tom’s NFL Top Chalk Favorite of the Month for $30.