TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASEBALL SELECTION THURSDAY, JULY 14TH
#955 ATLANTA RUN-LINE with Wright (-1′ -135) over Washington with Sanchez at 7:05 PM EST
Off a series loss to the Mets which included yesterday’s 7-3 blemish to New York, the Braves will have no trouble cruising past the Nats. Washington dropped a doubleheader at home to Seattle on Wednesday and the Nationals downward spiral will continue here.
Up on the bump for the visitors will be right-hander Kyle Wright. In his last three starts against the Nats, Redbirds, and Phils, No. 30 was touched for only four earned runs and 14 hits in 18.0 innings of work. Wright struck out 11 and walked six on his way to a 2-0 record with a strong 2.00 ERA. Kyle’s overall numbers on the season are outstanding too. With 17 starts in the books, Wright has been nicked for only 34 earned runs and 86 hits in 103.0 frames. That shakes down to a sensational 10-4 mark with an elite 2.97 ERA.
Taking the mound for the home team and pitching for the first time in nearly two years (his last start was back on September 26th, 2020) will be right-hander Anibal Sanchez. After signing a minor league deal with the Nats this spring, No. 27 suffered a cervical nerve impingement in his neck and his spot in the rotation was delayed. Sanchez owns a little history against Hotlanta. With 24 career starts in the bank versus Atlanta, Anibal has assembled a soft 8-11 record with a 4.67 ERA. In this his first outing of the year, Sanchez will only be good for about five innings or 75 pitches – whichever comes first.
There are a few solid angles that support this diamond wager. Atlanta has been victorious in 38 of its last 51 when priced as a road favorite of -125 or more, 26 of its last 35 when coming off a blemish, and 50 of its last 82 at night on foreign soil. On the other side of the stadium, Washington has slipped in 36 of its last 33 when priced as a home underdog, 33 of its last 40 when fighting division foes, and 33 of its last 47 when playing in its own backyard.
The Braves are resting 2.5-games back of the Mets in the NL East and they can’t afford any losses especially to a division foe that is 30.0-games under the .500 mark. Take Atlanta on the Run-Line with Wright. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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