TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION THURSDAY, APRIL 7TH
#508 MINNESOTA (-8′) over San Antonio at 8 PM EST
In a bad mood off that embarrassing home loss to the Wizards on Tuesday, Minnesota will get back on track with a solid effort when San Antonio visits the Twin Cities. The Spurs enter this battle on a blistering 3-0 SU and ATS run, and they will run into a brick wall here.
A quick peek at the History Book shows that the Timberwolves have dominated this series lately notching a strong 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS record in the last seven meetings. Minnesota won and covered both battles this year cashing at home by the final of 115-90 back on November 18th, 2021, and on the road on March 14th by the margin of 149-139. The Timberwolves have been playing well too inking a respectable 21-10 SU and 19-11-1 ATS tally in their last 31 games including an elite 15-3 SU and 13-4-1 ATS provided they are favored by -3 or more. Finally, when hitting the hardwood off a blowout loss of 10 points or more, the T’Wolves have notched a solid 10-2 ATS mark in their last 12 games.
This isn’t the best wagering spot for San Antonio either. As a guest taking the floor off two or more straight up wins, the Spurs hold a weak 14-27-1 ATS in their last 42 games provided their opponent arrives off a straight up loss. If head coach Gregg Popovich’s boys are facing a foe that enters off an ATS loss as well, this angle falls to a miserable 6-22-1 ATS including a stunning 1-11 SU and ATS if their opponent was favored last. Also, NBA road teams that enter off a straight up road win at Denver hold a dismal 16-26 SU and 15-26-1 ATS record provided their opponent takes the floor off a straight up loss. In this role fighting a non-division foe, our “play against” guest falls to a woeful 6-16 SU and 5-17 ATS mark.
With an outside chance at the No. 6 seed in the West, the Timberwolves will do their part by picking up this essential win and cover. Take Minnesota. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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