TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, MARCH 19TH
#793 CREIGHTON (+11′) over Kansas at 2:40 PM EST
On a blistering 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS run, don’t be surprised if No. 1 Kansas has problems against No. 9 Creighton in this Round of 32 war. The Bluejays enter this contest off a small upset win over the Aztecs in Round 1 and they are worth a look plus the plentiful points here.
Technically speaking, this is a horrendous spot for the Jayhawks. Since 1991, NCAA Tournament Round 2 teams that take the floor on a 3-0 SU and ATS run or better hold a disgusting 5-26 ATS record provided they own a team won/loss percentage of .775 or better and their opponent enters off a pointspread victory. If our “play against” side is seeded from No. 1 to No. 7 and is fighting a foe that sports a team won/loss percentage less than .870, this technical situation crashes to a shocking 2-25-1 ATS. That spells serious trouble for Rock-Chalk-Jayhawk.
Carrying a dependable 22-9-1 ATS mark in its last 32 battles, Creighton isn’t a bad underdog either. In this run grabbing +5.5 or more, the Bluejays improve to a powerful 7-2 ATS. Also, when stepping up in class and competing against an opponent that holds a team won/loss percentage of .501 or higher, head coach Greg McDermott’s kids sport a strong 53-23 SU and 47-26-2 ATS tally including a nifty 24-7 SU and 21-10 ATS provided their opponent takes the court off a pointspread win.
Yes, KU is playing well right now. However, the Jays are a competitive bunch that have the talent and leadership to hang around in this contest especially plus the generous points. Take Creighton. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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