Tom Stryker’s Free Basketball Play February 21st


#899 SAN FRANCISCO (-12′) over Pacific at 9 PM EST
Highly motivated off a 69-64 road loss at St. Mary’s, San Francisco will travel to Stockton and totally dominate this soft Pacific squad. The Tigers enter this WCC battle off a hard-fought 69-68 home win over LMU and they’ll revert right back to their losing ways here.

Even though the Dons own a solid 14-3 SU record in the last 19 meetings, USF will have no trouble staying focused for this matchup. The Pac-Rat has won two of the last three battles (straight up) including last year’s lone meeting on this very same floor by the final of 76-69. Even more important, on the conference road running with four or more days of rest, San Francisco has been a cash cow posting a reliable 37-17-1 ATS tally including an outstanding 33-7 ATS provided its opponent owns a team won/loss percentage less than .750. With those two parameters clicking and the Dons locked into a revenge mode, this team trend explodes to a nearly perfect 17-1 ATS.

It won’t take much to fade Pacific here either. For starters, when priced as an underdog and busting in off a straight up win, the Tigers own a dismal 28-45 ATS record provided their opponent arrives without steam off a straight up loss. In this role carrying a team won/loss percentage less than .480, the Pac-Rat owns a pitiful 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS record in their last 12 games. In addition, Pacific is currently on a disturbing 8-19 SU and 5-18-2 ATS run in its last 27 contests including a woeful 0-8 SU and ATS provided the Tigers played in the comforts of home last.

The Dons are ranked 25th in the NCAA in three-point field goals per game (9.5), 30th in scoring margin (+10.6), and 34th in rebounding margin (5.8) and they’ll prove to be too much for the struggling Tigers in the end. Take San Francisco. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

Coming in off a push/loss on the Boilermakers yesterday, Stryker looks to gear up for a profitable week with one wager that will bring home the cash. Serious motivation supports this selection along with one outstanding 17-3 ATS angle. Grab Tom’s CBB Ultimate Database Best Bet for $30.