TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, JANUARY 2ND
#109 ARIZONA (+6′) over Dallas at 4:25 PM EST
The Cardinals enter this NFC matchup on an ugly 0-3 SU and ATS run, and they’ll do whatever it takes to pull off this upset. The Cowboys are ripe for a beating too. Last Sunday, Dallas (-10) absolutely throttled Washington at home by the final of 56-14 and, off four straight wins and covers of their own, the ‘Boys are in prime position to fall.
Technically speaking, this is a highly profitable spot for ‘Zona. When coming off two or more straight up losses and lined up against an opponent that arrives off a SU and ATS win, the Redbirds hold a respectable 46-28-1 ATS record in their last 75 games. In this setting facing a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .670 or higher, Arizona improves to a healthy 16-3 ATS and has quietly covered 12 of its last 13 in this setting including eight straight. Also, in the role of an underdog, head coach Kliff Kingsbury’s boys carry an elite 18-8-1 ATS mark including 10-2 ATS if this is a non-division game.
After exploding for 56 points in last week’s laugher at home against the Football Team, the Cowboys will have a little trouble in this spot. Yes, Dallas is on a noteworthy 14-5 SU and 15-4 ATS run in its last 19 games. However, since 2015, when stepping up in class and tackling a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .501 or better, the ‘Boys sport a soft 16-27 SU and 14-28-1 ATS tally in their last 43 tries. In this spot priced as a competitive favorite of -6.5 or less, head coach Mike McCarthy’s troops fall to a disgusting 8-15 SU and 5-18 ATS including a nasty 5-12 SU and 3-14 ATS provided this is a non-division game.
Clinging to the fifth-best record in the NFC, the Cardinals will find their early season form, stroll into AT&T Stadium, and pick up an important win. Take Arizona. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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