TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 26TH
#129 NORTH CAROLINA (+6′) over NC State at 7 PM EST
With the Wolfpack fighting for an ACC Atlantic Division title and in need of a win and a Demon Deacons loss, the Tar Heels will have no trouble dashing NC State’s hardware hopes by pulling off this minor upset. Since losing at Pittsburgh 15 days ago, North Carolina tuned up for this rivalry game with a 20-point home win over Wofford last Saturday and they’ll be ready to go here.
Historically speaking, UNC has played well in this series posting a profitable 18-10 ATS mark in the last 28 meetings. In this role priced as an underdog, the ‘Heels improve to a rewarding 10-2 ATS in their last 12. Equally impressive, when coming off a non-conference battle, head coach Mack Brown’s troops have been worth a wager in their next contest inking a dependable 8-3 SU and 10-1 ATS tally including a golden 7-0 ATS in this situation provided their opponent busts in off a pointpread win. Finally, in conference play tackling a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .701 or better, North Carolina owns a profitable 17-8-1 ATS record provided its opponent played in the comforts of home last.
This is actually a horrible wagering spot for the Wolfpack too. When priced as a conference favorite, NC State has really struggled posting a soft 56-80-2 ATS record. In this situation laying -9 or less and hitting the field of battle with confidence off a straight up win, head coach Dave Doeren’s boys slip to a miserable 16-35 ATS including an ugly 10-31 ATS as long as the ‘Pack are not off a pointspread loss. Also, when coming off a SU and ATS win, NCS carries a feeble 14-23 ATS mark provided both teams are not running with rest.
Under the direction of Coach Brown, the Tar Heels have assembled a stunning 23-1 SU record against in-state ACC opponents. With a chance to bump their rival from a division title, UNC will lay it all on the line here. Take North Carolina. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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