TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION FRIDAY, OCTOBER 22ND
#321 COLORADO ST (-3) over Utah St at 9:30 PM EST
With plenty of steam off back-to-back SU and ATS wins over San Jose State and New Mexico, Colorado State will travel to Logan, Utah on Friday and keep its Mountain West division title hopes alive with solid performance over Utah State. The Aggies check into this contest off a huge road win at UNLV and this will be a bit of a challenge for head coach Blake Anderson and his men.
Even though these two schools didn’t meet in 2020, CSU hasn’t forgotten about what transpired in 2018 and 2019. The Rams lost both of those battles by a combined 15 points. That fact will certainly have head coach Steve Addazio’s boys highly motivated for this rematch. There is a strong conference angle that helps our cause too. Since 2002, Mountain West Conference short road favorites priced at -7 or less own a highly profitable 36-11 SU and 34-13 ATS record provided they check in off two or more straight up wins and are lined up against a MWC foe. If our “play on” side takes the field off a pointspread victory as well, this situation explodes to a money-making 26-8 ATS. That bode well for the Rams.
Utah State hasn’t exactly been the best home dog in college football either. When grabbing points inside Maverik Stadium, the Aggies hold a disgusting 2-13 SU and ATS mark in their last 15 tries including a shocking 0-12 SU and ATS in this set provided their opponent enters with confidence off a straight up win. Please note: Those 12 blemishes came by an average of 19.3 points per game. Also, when priced as a pup and taking the field with steam off a straight up win, USU holds a woeful 3-14 SU and ATS in its last 17 battles including a horrible 1-10 SU and ATS if the Aggies are fighting a conference foe.
Defensively, the Rams are ranked ninth in the FBS in total defense (allow an avg of 285.8 ypg), 15th in rushing “D” (surrender an avg of 98.2 ypg) and 28th in scoring (give up an avg of only 19.5 ppg). That tenacious stop unit will be the difference in this Mountain West war. Take Colorado State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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