TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, OCTOBER 16TH
#186 WESTERN MICHIGAN (-7) over Kent St at 3:30 PM EST
Off the mistake-prone 45-20 home loss to Ball State and with a major test at Toledo on deck, Western Michigan will take care of business in its Homecoming game on Saturday afternoon. Kent makes the trek to Kalamazoo off back-to-back straight up MAC wins over BGSU and Buffalo and this will be a difficult spot for the Golden Flashes. Let’s take a look inside the numbers.
Even though these two programs haven’t met since 2017, WMU has been in control of this series posting a reliable 12-3 SU record (5-4 ATS) in the last 15 meetings. In addition, when taking the field off a pointspread loss, the Broncos have been worth a wager posting a reliable 19-12-1 ATS mark in their last 32 games including a profitable 17-8 SU and 16-9 ATS if they are battling a conference foe. Finally, at home holding a team won/loss percentage of .501 or higher and taking the field without confidence off a straight up loss, head coach Tim Lester’s crew carries a nearly perfect 5-1 SU and ATS record.
Kent State is an experienced and talented MAC football team. However, this is going to be a massive challenge for the Golden Flashes. As an underdog tackling a foe that played in the comforts of home last, KSU sports a stiff 12-67 SU and 31-46-2 ATS record including 11-44 SU and 21-33-1 ATS provided this is a conference game. With those two parameters live and Kent battling a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage of .550 or better, this technical situation falls to a nasty 2-16 SU and 5-13 ATS. Finally, on foreign soil hitting the field with steam off a straight up win, the Golden Flashes have been at their financial worst posting a woeful 2-14 SU and 4-12 ATS record in their last 16 games.
In a bad mood off that embarrassing home loss to the Redbirds, the Broncos will regroup and grab a much-needed win and cover before heading to Toledo for a showdown with the Rockets next week. Take Western Michigan. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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