TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, OCTOBER 2ND
#151 NEVADA (+5) over Boise St at 3:30 PM EST
With a week of rest and off that 21-point road loss at Kansas State, Nevada will travel to Boise on Saturday and give the Broncos a game. BSU enter this conference battle off a SU and ATS road win at USU and head coach Andy Avalos and his troops will be challenged in a big way here.
The history in this series is certainly noted. The Wolf Pack own a dismal 1-16 SU and 6-10-1 ATS record in the last 17 meetings. However, UNR holds a profitable 21-11 SU and 20-10 ATS mark in its last 31 games including a golden 9-0 ATS if the Pack are priced as an underdog of +13 or less. In addition, when coming off a SU and ATS loss, head coach Jay Norvell’s boys have responded by inking a rewarding 20-12 SU and 22-7-1 ATS tally in their next game. Provided the Wolf Pack are matched up against an opponent that arrives off a conference war, this trend jumps to a strong 14-7 SU and 17-3-1 ATS including a nearly perfect 14-1-1 ATS if they are priced as an underdog or a favorite of -6.5 or less.
Back in the day, fading Boise State on the Smurf Turf was never recommended. However, since 2010, the Broncos have experienced a few problems playing at home notching a soft 25-40-1 ATS record. In this run taking the field with confidence off a straight up win, BSU falls to a rough 15-30 ATS including an ugly 9-22 ATS if they check in off a conference game. With those three parameters live and Coach Avalos’ kids hitting the field off a double-digit straight up victory, this team trend crashes to a dismal 6-19 ATS.
Defensively, the Broncos are allowing an average of 420.0 yards per game this season and that high-octane Wolf Pack offense will have no trouble moving the chains. Off the frustrating loss to the Wildcats and locked into a serious revenge mode, the rested Pack will pull off the upset. Take Nevada. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 4* NCAA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
Busting in with a little steam off Friday’s easy Best Bet winner on Iowa, Stryker looks to pop his strongest Late Telephone Service selection for Saturday. This key release comes with the ideal set, and it is backed by a couple of elite angles that hold money-making marks of 19-9 ATS and 12-4 ATS. Grab Tom’s 4* NCAA Conference Game of the Year for $30.