TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASEBALL SELECTION WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29TH
#973 CLEVELAND with Plesac (-119) over Kansas City with Lynch at 8:10 PM EST
Off last night’s 6-4 road loss to the Royals, look for the Indians to bounce back nicely under the Kauffman Stadium lights on Wednesday. Kansas City has slipped in seven of its last 13 overall and this will prove to be a difficult spot for manager Mike Matheny and his crew.
Right-hander Zach Plesac will hit the hump for the visitors. In four September outings against the White Sox, Yankees, Brew Crew, and Red Sox (four playoff teams possibly), No. 34 was nicked for 12 earned runs and 25 hits in 22.1 innings of work. Plesac struck out 18 and walked seven on his way to a 1-2 tally and a 4.84 ERA. Thankfully, on the season, Zach has performed very well. With 136.2 frames completed, Plesac has been tapped for 69 earned runs and 130 hits. That’s good enough for a 10-6 mark with a solid 4.54 ERA.
Rookie southpaw Daniel Lynch will counter for the Royals. Matched up against the Indians, A’s, Twins, and White Sox in four September outings, No. 52 was ripped for 15 earned runs and 18 hits in 16.2 innings. Lynch whiffed 13, walked seven, and served up five home runs on his way to an 0-3 record with a weak 8.10 ERA. Also, in his own backyard, Daniel has experienced some issues allowing 22 earned runs and 31 hits in 29.2 frames. That’s bad enough for a 2-3 mark with a feeble 6.67 ERA.
There are a number of reliable team trends that support this investment. Cleveland has tasted victory in 15 of its last 20 as a favorite, eight of its last 11 in the third game of a series, and four straight when coming off a loss. On the other side of the stadium, Kansas City has fallen in 108 of its last 155 in the third game of a series and seven of its last eight when priced as an underdog.
The Tribe has alternated wins and losses in their last eight battles and, off yesterday’s blemish, they’ll get back on track with a dub hee. Take Cleveland with Plesac. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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