TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASEBALL SELECTION TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 28TH
#909 MILWAUKEE with Woodruff (-125) over St. Louis with Wainwright at 7:45 PM EST
Kudos to St. Louis and its 16-game winning streak. However, Milwaukee is the NL Central champs, and the Brew Crew haven’t forgotten about their 0-4 performance at home against the Cardinals last week. In a serious revenge mode, manager Craig Counsell will make sure his boys grab this statement victory.
Ace righty Brandon Woodruff will toe the rubber for the visitors. In three September starts against the Cards, Tigers and Phillies, No. 53 was touched for eight earned runs and 15 hits in 18.0 innings of work. Woodruff fanned 23 and walked three on his way to a surprising 0-3 tally with a 4.00 ERA. Luckily, the road has been kind to Brandon this year. On foreign soil, Woodruff has surrendered just 27 earned runs and 53 hits in 89.2 frames. That equates to a 5-7 record with a 2.71 ERA.
Veteran righty Adam Wainwright will take the mound for the Redbirds. Matched up against the Brew Crew and Friars in his last two starts, No. 50 was crunched for seven earned runs and 11 hits in 10.0 innings. Wainwright struck out three and walked two on his way to an 0-0 mark with a lofty 6.30 ERA. In four starts against the Brewers this season, Adam holds a 1-1 record with a 3.80 ERA.
There are several quality trends that support this investment. Milwaukee has won nine of its last 11 as a guest fighting a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage greater than .500, eight of its last 10 when coming off a day of rest, 20 of its last 27 as a road favorite, and 38 of its last 53 as a guest overall. On the other side of Busch Stadium, St. Louis has fallen in four straight provided they check in off a road trip of seven days or more.
The Brewers are the division’s best team, and they haven’t forgotten about that four-game sweep at American Family Field last week. Here comes a little payback. Take Milwaukee with Woodruff. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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