TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASEBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, JULY 24TH
#927 CHICAGO with Rodon (+113) over Milwaukee with Burnes at 7:10 PM EST
In a bad mood off back-to-back blowout losses to the Brew Crew and Twinkies by the combined score of 14-3, the White Sox will storm the yard on Saturday with a chip on their shoulder. The Pale Hose own a commanding 9.0-game lead in the AL Central, and they are anxious to potentially push that advantage to double-digits with a victory here.
Southpaw Carlos Rodon will toe the rubber for the Sox. In three July outings against the Astros and Twins (twice), No. 55 was scratched for only five earned runs and 14 hits in 18.0 innings of work. Rodon struck out 27 and walked only two on his way to a 2-0 record with an elite 2.50 ERA. The fact that this game is being played under the lights helps Carlos too. At night, Rodon has been nipped for only 11 earned runs and 41 hits through 59.2 frames. After the math, that adds up to a solid 5-2 mark with a strong 1.66 ERA.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes will counter for the Brewers. Matched up against the Reds, Mets, and Pirates in his last three performances, No. 39 was zapped for just two earned runs and 15 hits in 21.1 innings. Burnes posted a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 25-2 and assembled a 2-0 record with a stunning 0.84 ERA. Fortunately, for us, Corbin has been effective at home but doesn’t have the wins to show for it. With 51.1 frames completed in his own backyard, Burnes has surrendered 15 earned runs and 40 hits. That equates to a 2-4 mark with a 2.63 ERA.
Plenty of reliable team trends support this wager. Chicago has won four straight in the second game of a series, nine of its last 13 overall, and 13 of its last 19 when battling a right-handed starter. On the other side of American Family Field, Milwaukee has fallen in seven of its last nine against American League foes, five of its last six as home chalk, and four of its last five after allowing two runs or less in its last game.
In what should be an epic pitching duel, the Pale Hose will find just enough offense to end their two-game losing streak. Take Chicago with Rodon. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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