Tom Stryker’s Free Baseball Play July 23rd


#978 NY METS with Megill (-115) over Toronto with Matz at 7:10 PM EST
Offensively, the Mets are rolling right now (39 runs in their last five games), and they’ll have no trouble lighting up the scoreboard when the Blue Jays visit on Friday evening. Toronto enters off a pair of losses to Boston and this will prove to be a tough trip for manager Charlie Montoyo’s boys.

Rookie right-hander Tylor Megill will grab the pearl for the home team. So far this season, No. 38 has made five starts for the Mets and been nipped for only seven earned runs and 20 hits in 24.0 innings. Megill holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 28-9 but has failed to earn a decision while posting a proud 2.63 ERA. Of course, it should be noted that NY has won four of Tylor’s five starts this season. Pitching in the Big Apple has been a good thing for Megill too. With 13.0 home innings in the bank, Tylor has been touched for only four earned runs and nine hits. After the math, that equates to a strong 2.77 ERA.

Southpaw Steven Matz will hit the hump for the road team. Dating back to June 6th, No. 22 has made five stars for the Jays and been slammed for 12 earned runs and 26 hits in 21.2 frames. Matz whiffed 20 and walked six and posted a 2-2 record with a soft 4.99 ERA. Pitching under the lights has been a problem for Steven too. At night, Matz has been mauled for 31 earned runs and 64 hits in 49.0 innings. That equates to a 4-3 tally with an elevated 5.69 ERA.

A number of reliable team trends back this money-maker too. New York has won five straight in the first game of a series, five of its last six checking in off a day of rest, 22 of its last 32 in the comforts of home, and 27 of its last 40 when favored. On the other side of Citi Field, Toronto has slipped in six of its last seven on the road in this interleague series, 18 of its last 26 when facing a National League foe that holds a team won/loss percentage greater than .500, and eight of its last 11 when playing on Friday.

The Mets own a 4.0-game advantage over the Phillies and Braves in the NL East, and they need this dub in order to keep their comfortable lead. Take New York with Megill. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.

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