TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION MONDAY, JUNE 7TH
#581 MILWAUKEE (+1′) over Brooklyn at 7:30 PM EST
Off that 115-107 loss to the Nets in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals, the Bucks will bounce back in a big way in this crucial setting. Milwaukee’s goal on this two-game trip was to win one and head back to Fiserv Forum with homecourt advantage. A victory for the Deer here accomplishes that mission.
Since March 23rd, 2018, the Bucks have been a force when checking in off a straight up loss posting a strong 57-23 SU and 48-32 ATS record. In this setting battling a conference foe, Milwaukee improves to an elite 40-14 SU and 35-19 ATS including a lucrative 14-3 SU and ATS in its last 17 in this set if the Deer are playing on the road. Additionally, NBA Playoff Game 2 guests competing in any playoff series hold a respectable 45-28 ATS record provided they own a team won/loss percentage greater than .645 and take the floor without confidence off a straight up road loss. That bodes well for head coach Mike Budenholzer and his boys.
This is going to be a tough encore for Brooklyn especially without the services of James Harden (hamstring). Technically speaking, NBA Playoff home favorites that are priced competitively at -2.5 or less hold a weak 69-102-1 ATS mark provided their opponent carries a team won/loss percentage of .640 or higher. If our “play against” piece of chalk hits the hardwood off a pointspread win, this system falls to a woeful 37-56-1 ATS. Also, since the NBA Playoffs started this season, home teams hold a surprising 5-13 SU and ATS mark provided they are lined up against an opponent that owns a team won/loss percentage of .625 or better. Both of those situations work against the Nets.
If the Bucks want to have a shot at winning this series, then they’ll need to dominate this Brooklyn team that is without the services of one of its best players. Take Milwaukee. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 25-4 ATS & 16-2 ATS NBA PLAYOFF ELITE BEST BET
Off a postseason blemish on the Mavs, Stryker heads back to the hardwood on Monday with one Best Bet that will deliver. Two strong angles support this major wager, and these gems own top shelf marks of 25-4 ATS and 16-2 ATS. Grab Tom’s NBA Playoff Elite Best Bet for $30.