TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION MONDAY, APRIL 12TH
#560 DALLAS (+2′) over Philadelphia at 7:30 PM EST
On a 1-2 SU and ATS run and off yesterday’s shocking loss to the Spurs, the Mavs will bounce back with a solid effort against the visiting Sixers. Philadelphia enters this road war off a 117-93 win and cover at Oklahoma City and this is going to be a difficult spot for head coach Doc Rivers and his crew.
If the blemish to San Antonio won’t get Dallas motivated for this matchup, then the memory of the Mavericks 111-97 blowout loss in the City of Brotherly Love back on February 25th will be more than enough to do the trick. Thankfully, in this series running against a 76ers squad that arrives with confidence off a straight up win, the Mavs own a respectable 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 tries. Equally impressive, dating back to November 18th, 2017, Dallas holds a solid 36-20 ATS mark when priced as an underdog coming off a straight up loss provided its opponent arrives with confidence off a straight up win. In this setting hitting the hardwood off a pointspread loss as well, head coach Rick Carlisle’s boys cruise to an elite 31-12 ATS including 12-2 ATS if this is a non-conference game.
This is poor wagering spot for Philly. When priced as a favorite, the Sixers hold a weak 13-28-1 ATS tally provided they a battling an opponent that holds a team won/loss percentage of .523 or better that arrives off a straight up loss as a favorite. In this role arriving with confidence off a SU and ATS victory, the 76ers fall to a miserable 4-17-1 ATS. Additionally, when hitting the court off a blowout victory of 20 points or more, Philadelphia holds a woeful 58-80-6 ATS mark including a rough 24-46-2 ATS if its opponent holds a team won/loss percentage of .525 or better. With those two parameters live and the Sixers checking in off a road game, this team trend falls to a miserable 5-21-1 ATS.
The Mavs are expected to add J.J. Redick to the active roster for this contest and that will provide Coach Carlisle’s squad with a solid offensive boost. Off the last second loss to the Spurs and in a payback mode, MVP candidate Luka Doncic and his boys will bounce back with a solid upset win. Take Dallas. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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