TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION MONDAY, MARCH 22ND
#830 UCLA (-4′) over Abilene Christian at 5:15 PM EST
Surprisingly, in the 2021 NCAA Tournament, teams that hold a double-digit seed own a 16-24 SU and 24-16 ATS record. The Cinderella’s have already been named this year and there is no way that No. 11 UCLA will overlook No. 15 Abilene Christian especially with a ticket to the Sweet 16 on the line. Let’s take a look inside the numbers.
This is actually a solid wagering spot for UCLA. According to our college basketball database, in the Second Round of the NCAA Tournament, teams that are seeded from No. 10 to No. 16 hold a sensational 25-8 SU and ATS mark provided they are priced as a favorite or an underdog of +2 or less. If our “play on” side is battling an opponent that checks in with plenty of confidence off back-to-back SU and ATS victories, this unique technical situation explodes to a nearly perfect 14-1 SU and ATS. There is one more parameter that can be added that makes this angle a perfect 14-0 SU and ATS but that will remain for my eyes only. The most important thing to note from that is the Bruins apply!
Off the shocking upset win over UT, the Wildcats will fall hard in this tough spot. Since 1990, NCAA Tournament teams that won straight up priced as a Big Dance underdog of +7 or more last hold a weak 25-72 SU and 41-55-1 ATS record in their next postseason game. If our “play against” side is seeded at No. 13 or higher, this technical situation falls to a woeful 5-37 SU and 13-28-1 ATS including a horrible 4-26 SU and 6-23-1 ATS provided they enter off a competitive straight up win of nine points or less. That spells trouble for Abilene Christian.
Bruins head coach Mick Cronin has his kids playing well again and they will bring their “A=Game” to ensure the Wildcats are a one and done Big Dance squad. Take UCLA. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
TOM’S 13-0 ATS 4* NCAA TOURNEY SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR
Stryker is posting only one 4* Best Bet in the Second Round of the NCAA Tournament and he is prepared to cash this monster ticket. A rare 13-0 ATS power angle supports this Best Bet along with four Big Dance systems that owns top dollar marks of 75-50 ATS, 70-34 ATS, 58-30 ATS and 53-26 ATS. Grab Tom’s 4* NCAA Tourney Second Round Game of the Year for $30.