TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION SUNDAY MARCH 14TH
#652 ST BONAVENTURE (-3) over VCU at 1 PM EST
The Bonnies have been the A-10’s best this season and they will prove that once again in the Conference Tournament Championship Game by racing past VCU. The Rams enter this contest off a pair of huge postseason wins and covers over Dayton and Davidson and this is going to be a tall order for head coach Mike Rhoades and his men.
A quick glance at the Team Stryker Database shows that the Bonnies have totally dominated conference foes notching an elite 36-15 SU and 31-17-3 ATS mark in the last 51 meetings. In this spot priced as a favorite or an underdog of +3.5 or less, St. Bonaventure improves to a money-making 35-9 SU and 30-11-3 ATS including a profitable 17-3 SU and 16-3-1 ATS provided it is running with four or more days of rest. Finally, in the A-10 Final, favorites have performed very well inking a solid 21-7 SU and 19-8-1 ATS mark including an elite 15-2 SU and 14-2-1 ATS if they own a team won/loss percentage of .730 or better.
If you want to fade VCU, the best time to do it is when the Rams are priced as an underdog. When shagging points, Coach Rhoades and his troops own a woeful 8-33 SU and 12-29 ATS tally in their last 41 tries. In this situation running the floor against a foe that scoots in off two or more straight up wins, VCU falls to a miserable 2-19 SU and 4-17 ATS including a pitiful 1-12 SU and ATS provided this is a conference game. With those three parameters live and the Rams not off a blowout win of 20 points or more, this situation crumbles to a ridiculous 0-12 SU and ATS.
Defensively, the Bonnies are one of the best in college basketball and they’ll lean on their stop unit to help key this Championship victory. Take St. Bonaventure. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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