TOM STRYKER’S FREE BASKETBALL SELECTION WEDNESDAY, MARCH 10TH
#618 MONMOUTH (-8) over Fairfield at 7:30 PM EST
The Hawks won the regular season conference title, and they’ll have no trouble racing past Fairfield in this MAAC Tournament Quarterfinals battle. The Stags sneak into this contest off an overtime victory over No. 10 Manhattan and they’ll simply run out of gas in this matchup.
Even though Monmouth has quietly posted an 0-5 ATS mark in its last five games, the Hawks have been at their best when competing with four or more days rest posting a proud 16-5 SU and 12-5-1 ATS tally in their last 21 tries. In addition, favorites laying -5 or more in the Quarterfinals of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference Tournament hold a powerful 36-3 SU and 26-12-1 ATS record in their last 39 battles. If our “play on” side is going into revenge, this postseason situation zips to a rewarding 29-2 SU and 22-8-1 ATS. Lastly, as a single-digit favorite fighting a foe that enters off two or more straight up wins, the Hawks soar to an elite 15-6 SU and ATS in their last 21 tries.
Off back-to-back upset wins over Manhattan, Fairfield will meet its match in this MAAC Tournament battle. Overall, in their last 40 games, the Stags are just 13-27 SU and 15-25 ATS including 2-13 SU and ATS if they hit the court off a pointspread victory. Even worse, when taking the floor off a straight up underdog win, Fairfield holds a surprising 7-24 SU and 6-22-2 ATS mark provided its opponent enters off a straight up victory. In this spot running against a foe that holds a team won/loss percentage greater than .650, the Stags drop to a shocking 0-13 SU and 1-11-1 ATS.
The Hawks and Stags were scheduled to meet in a two-game series in West Long Brach on February 26th and 27 but both games were postponed. Rest assured, head coach King Rice and his boys will make the most of this meeting. Take Monmouth. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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