TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SUNDAY, JANUARY 3RD
#125 LA CHARGERS (-4′) over Kansas City at 4:25 PM EST
On a bit of a roll off three straight wins and covers over the Falcons, Raiders and Broncos, the Chargers will travel to Kaycee and knock off the resting Chiefs. Kansas City checks into this division contest with the best record in the AFC and they’ll simply want to get out of Sunday’s game injury free.
A quick look at the History Book shows that the Bolts have performed well in this series when lined up against a Chiefs team that scoots in off a straight up win posting a profitable 21-12-1 ATS tally. In this role checking in off a pointspread victory, Los Angeles improves to a nearly perfect 10-1 ATS. Also, on foreign soil carrying a team won/loss percentage less than .500, the Chargers sport a rewarding 88-45-7 ATS mark including an elite 30-11 ATS in this spot if they arrive off an ATS victory. Finally, since 1985, NFL teams fighting in their last regular season game own a money-making 41-23-2 ATS provided they enter off three or more pointspread wins and their opponent arrives off a non-division battle.
Currently on a 7-0 SU and 1-6 ATS run, Kansas City’s ATS woes won’t get solved here. The Chiefs have clinched a first-round bye and homefield throughout the AFC playoffs and they won’t risk injury to any of their key personnel in this matchup. According to the Team Stryker NFL Database, NFL division hosts competing in their last regular season game hold a feeble 11-23-2 ATS mark provided they won straight at home against a non-division foe in their last contest. If our “play against” home team is tackling a foe that fought a division opponent last, this late-season system falls to a disturbing 3-16 ATS. That spells trouble for the defending Super Bowl Champions.
With blemishes in three straight to the Chiefs and losses in 12 of their last 13, the Chargers will stroll right into Kansas City and beat up on a Kaycee bunch that is resting for the playoffs. Take LA Chargers. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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