TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 28TH
#214 APPALACHIAN STATE (-14) over Troy at 3:30 PM EST
Coming off a pair of less than impressive performances against Georgia State and Coastal Carolina, Appalachian State will finally put it all together when Troy visits on Saturday night. The Trojans enter this contest in a funk off back-to-back SU and ATS losses to Georgia Southern and Middle Tennessee and Boone, North Carolina is not the place you want to try and get healthy. Let’s break down the numbers.
Dating back to October 18th, 2014, the Mountaineers have been a force when coming off a straight up loss posting a proud 13-1 SU and 10-2 ATS record in their next game. In this run lined up against an opponent that owns a team won/loss percentage greater than .400, App State jumps to a magnificent 6-0 SU and ATS. Also, in this series, the Mountaineers hold a solid 5-1 SU mark in the last six meetings. Finally, non-rested home favorites priced at -14 or more that take the field off two or more pointspread losses hold a respectable 374-304-14 ATS mark provided their opponent holds a team won/loss percentage of .500 or worse and is not off a blowout win of 10 points or more. If our “play on” side is fighting a foe that arrives off a pointspread loss, this situation tightens up to a solid 224-172-9 ATS including 94-62-5 ATS if we hold a team won/loss percentage of .725 or better. That bodes well for App State.
Respect is certainly given to a Troy stop unit that has limited its last three opponents to 20 points or less. Unfortunately, keeping a Mountaineers high-octane offense that averages 31.0 points and 443.0 total yards per game under wraps is going to be a huge challenge for the Trojans. Of course, trying to score on an App State stop unit that surrenders an average of 19.0 points and 338.8 total yards per game won’t be easy either! Lately, Troy has been an average football team too. In their last 23 games, the Trojans are just 11-12 SU and 8-12-1 ATS. In this run battling an opponent that holds a team won/loss percentage of .300 or better, Troy slips down to a dismal 5-11 SU and 4-11-1 ATS including a woeful 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in this set grabbing +10 or more.
The Mountaineers have dominated Sun Belt teams to the tune of 47-6 SU in their last 53 games. After their first conference loss of the season, head coach Shawn Clark’s kids will rise up and steamroll the Trojans. Take Appalachian State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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Lee’s Top College release has done very well this season – 9-2 ATS for 81.8 percent plus $6,800. On Saturday, Lee is busting out with another strong High Roller Club selection – his College Investors Premier Play – and victory No. 10 is on the horizon. Grab Lee’s $1,000 HRC College Investors Premier Play for $30.