TOM STRYKER’S FREE FOOTBALL SELECTION SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 14TH
#140 KENTUCKY (-) over Vanderbilt at 12 PM EST
In a bad mood off a pair of double-digit straight up losses to Missouri and Georgia in its last two games, Kentucky will get back on track with a big win and cover when it hosts Vanderbilt on Saturday. The Commodores enter this SEC battle off a seven-point road loss in Starkville to the Bulldogs and the ‘Dores will have serious issues matched up against these rested Wildcats.
In the last 24 games between these two SEC foes, UK has been in control notching a reliable 17-7 SU and 14-10 ATS record. If the Wildcats played at home in their last game, this team trend cruises to a money-making 12-5 SU and ATS. Equally impressive, when rested and lined up against an opponent that arrives without confidence off a straight up loss, the ‘Cats carry an elite 17-9-1 ATS mark including 10-3 ATS in this set if they check in off a double-digit straight up loss as well. Lastly, when stepping down in class and tackling a foe that carries a team won/loss percentage less than .333, Kentucky sports a strong 23-10 ATS mark including 23-8 ATS in this set provided its opponent arrives off a straight up loss.
Currently on a woeful 3-15 SU and 4-13 ATS run, Vanderbilt’s struggles on the football field are real. In this setting checking in off a conference battle, the Commodores fall to an ugly 2-10 SU and 1-10 ATS. Even worse, when arriving off a pointspread win and holding a team won/loss percentage of .500 or worse, the ‘Dores hold a horrible 43-97 SU and 51-76-2 ATS record including a disturbing 14-44 SU and 19-39 ATS in this situation tackling an opponent that enters off an ATS victory. With those two parameters clicking and Vandy lined up against a foe that scoots in off a conference war, this team trend falls to a hideous 5-32 SU and 9-28 ATS.
COVID-19 has hit these two teams and there is a chance this game could get cancelled. However, if they do lace them up and go at it, the Wildcats own the advantages across the board. Take Kentucky. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
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